Envigado 1-0 Popayan Prediction

EnvigadoEnvigado
1 — 0FT
PopayanPopayan
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

EnvigadoEnvigadovsPopayanPopayan

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Envigado

Estimated win chances: Envigado 49%, draw 26.5%, Popayan 24.6%. From 6 and 7 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.46Expected goals0.95

From 6 and 7 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–013.4%
  • 1–112.7%
  • 2–09.8%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 0–09.2%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

50MixedEnvigado
Weighted momentum

Envigado carries the sharper recent run (+26 momentum).

24Cold spellPopayan
Envigado · compact defensePopayan · low scoring · cold form

Envigado

3W · 1D · 2L
Recent →WLLDWW
Momentum index

Popayan

1W · 2D · 4L
Recent →LLDWDLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Envigado

10 pts
50% wins

3W · 1D · 2L · 6 played

For
7
Against
4
Goal diff +3

Popayan

5 pts
14% wins

1W · 2D · 4L · 7 played

For
6
Against
10
Goal diff -4

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Envigado offensive edge

    Envigado's attack (45%) vs Popayan's defense (36%).

    +9
  • Popayan offensive edge

    Popayan runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -9

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Envigado45
Popayan55

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Envigado64
Popayan36

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Envigado50
Popayan24

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Envigado68
Popayan32

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Envigado30
Popayan30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Envigado58
Popayan42

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Envigado0
Popayan0
Envigadocompact defense
Popayanlow scoring · cold form