Goal expectancy
1.30Expected goals1.03
From 29 and 29 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Epinal
Estimated win chances: Epinal 42.7%, draw 27.8%, Chantilly 29.5%. From 29 and 29 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
42MixedEpinal
Weighted momentum
Epinal carries the sharper recent run (+10 momentum).
32Cold spellChantilly
Epinal · low scoringChantilly · low scoring · cold form
Epinal
10W · 7D · 12LRecent →LWWLLWLDDDLLWWWDWDLDLLLWLWLDW
Momentum index
Chantilly
6W · 9D · 14LRecent →DWLDDWLLDLLDLWLDLLDWDDLWLWLLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapEpinal +10
Epinal
37 pts34% wins
10W · 7D · 12L · 29 played
For29
Against35
Chantilly
27 pts21% wins
6W · 9D · 14L · 29 played
For30
Against39
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Epinal offensive edge
Epinal faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-12 - Chantilly offensive edge
Chantilly's attack (60%) vs Epinal's defense (48%).
+12
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Epinallow scoring
Chantillylow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
0Epinal0%
1Draws
2Chantilly67%