Goal expectancy
0.80Expected goals2.20
From 14 and 14 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Erebuni 0-5 Junior Sevan Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Junior Sevan
Estimated win chances: Erebuni 12.2%, draw 18.4%, Junior Sevan 69.3%. From 14 and 14 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
1Cold spellErebuni
Weighted momentum
Junior Sevan arrives with stronger form weighting (+97 momentum).
98Hot streakJunior Sevan
Erebuni · High-risk / fragileJunior Sevan · compact defense · hot form
Erebuni
0W · 1D · 13LRecent →LLLLLLLLLLLLDL
Momentum index
Junior Sevan
13W · 1D · 0LRecent →WWWWWWWWWWWWDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapJunior Sevan +39
Erebuni
1 pts0% wins
0W · 1D · 13L · 14 played
For9
Against42
Junior Sevan
40 pts93% wins
13W · 1D · 0L · 14 played
For37
Against6
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Erebuni offensive edge
Erebuni faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-69 - Junior Sevan offensive edge
Junior Sevan's attack (82%) vs Erebuni's defense (13%).
+69
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
ErebuniHigh-risk / fragile
Junior Sevancompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
1Erebuni100%
0Draws
0Junior Sevan0%