Erebuni 1-7 Yerevan Prediction

ErebuniErebuni
1 — 7FT
YerevanYerevan
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Updated

ErebuniErebunivsYerevanYerevan

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Yerevan

Estimated win chances: Erebuni 28.8%, draw 23.1%, Yerevan 48.1%. From 4 and 4 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.34Expected goals1.79

From 4 and 4 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111%
  • 1–29.9%
  • 0–18.2%
  • 2–17.4%
  • 0–27.4%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

7Cold spellErebuni
Weighted momentum

Yerevan arrives with stronger form weighting (+77 momentum).

84Hot streakYerevan
Erebuni · High-risk / fragileYerevan · hot form

Erebuni

0W · 1D · 3L
Recent →LLDL
Momentum index

Yerevan

3W · 0D · 1L
Recent →WWWL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapYerevan +8

Erebuni

1 pts
0% wins

0W · 1D · 3L · 4 played

For
3
Against
10
Goal diff -7

Yerevan

9 pts
75% wins

3W · 0D · 1L · 4 played

For
12
Against
5
Goal diff +7

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Erebuni offensive edge

    Erebuni faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -47
  • Yerevan offensive edge

    Yerevan's attack (80%) vs Erebuni's defense (33%).

    +47

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Erebuni20
Yerevan80

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Erebuni33
Yerevan67

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Erebuni7
Yerevan84

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Erebuni-44
Yerevan144

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Erebuni52
Yerevan30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Erebuni10
Yerevan90

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Erebuni0
Yerevan0
ErebuniHigh-risk / fragile
Yerevanhot form