Estoril 3-1 Sporting CP Prediction

EstorilEstoril
3 — 1FT
Sporting CPSporting CP
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

EstorilEstorilvsSporting CpSporting Cp

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Estoril

Estimated win chances: Estoril 43.5%, draw 26.1%, Sporting Cp 30.4%. From 19 and 19 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.44Expected goals1.16

From 19 and 19 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.7%
  • 1–010.9%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 0–18.8%
  • 2–07.9%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

38Cold spellEstoril
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

41MixedSporting Cp
Estoril · cold formSporting Cp · low scoring

Estoril

6W · 4D · 9L
Recent →LWLDLWLLWLWWLLDWDDL
Momentum index

Sporting Cp

5W · 7D · 7L
Recent →WLLDWWLDLDWLDLDWDLD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapLevel on points

Estoril

22 pts
32% wins

6W · 4D · 9L · 19 played

For
27
Against
28
Goal diff -1

Sporting Cp

22 pts
26% wins

5W · 7D · 7L · 19 played

For
19
Against
22
Goal diff -3

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Estoril offensive edge

    Estoril faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -3
  • Sporting Cp offensive edge

    Sporting Cp's attack (46%) vs Estoril's defense (43%).

    +3

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Estoril54
Sporting Cp46

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Estoril43
Sporting Cp57

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Estoril38
Sporting Cp41

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Estoril44
Sporting Cp56

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Estoril30
Sporting Cp30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Estoril36
Sporting Cp64

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Estoril50
Sporting Cp50
Estorilcold form
Sporting Cplow scoring