Goal expectancy
1.85Expected goals0.85
From 23 and 23 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Ethnikos Assias 5-1 AEN Prediction
Balanced — model leans Ethnikos Assias
Estimated win chances: Ethnikos Assias 61%, draw 22.2%, Aen 16.8%. From 23 and 23 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
68Hot streakEthnikos Assias
Weighted momentum
Ethnikos Assias carries the sharper recent run (+42 momentum).
26Cold spellAen
Ethnikos Assias · compact defense · hot formAen · High-risk / fragile
Ethnikos Assias
13W · 6D · 4LRecent →WWWLDWDWWWDDWLWDLWWLWDW
Momentum index
Aen
7W · 3D · 13LRecent →LLLLLLDLWWLLWLLDWDWWLLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapEthnikos Assias +21
Ethnikos Assias
45 pts57% wins
13W · 6D · 4L · 23 played
For34
Against16
Aen
24 pts30% wins
7W · 3D · 13L · 23 played
For24
Against46
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Ethnikos Assias offensive edge
Ethnikos Assias's attack (67%) vs Aen's defense (6%).
+61 - Aen offensive edge
Aen runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-61
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Ethnikos Assiascompact defense · hot form
AenHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Ethnikos Assias50%
1Draws
0Aen0%