Goal expectancy
1.68Expected goals1.21
From 4 and 4 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Everton U21 2-1 Middlesbrough U21 Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Everton U21
Estimated win chances: Everton U21 48.4%, draw 24.1%, Middlesbrough U21 27.5%. From 4 and 4 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
45MixedEverton U21
Weighted momentum
Everton U21 carries the sharper recent run (+25 momentum).
20Cold spellMiddlesbrough U21
Everton U21 · Structured / conservativeMiddlesbrough U21 · High-risk / fragile
Everton U21
1W · 2D · 1LRecent →DWLD
Momentum index
Middlesbrough U21
0W · 2D · 2LRecent →DDLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapEverton U21 +3
Everton U21
5 pts25% wins
1W · 2D · 1L · 4 played
For4
Against3
Middlesbrough U21
2 pts0% wins
0W · 2D · 2L · 4 played
For7
Against10
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Everton U21 offensive edge
Everton U21's attack (36%) vs Middlesbrough U21's defense (23%).
+13 - Middlesbrough U21 offensive edge
Middlesbrough U21 runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-13
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Everton U21Structured / conservative
Middlesbrough U21High-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
0Everton U210%
1Draws
1Middlesbrough U2150%