Everton 3-1 Oldham Prediction

EvertonEverton
3 — 1FT
OldhamOldham
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

EvertonEvertonvsOldhamOldham

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Everton

Estimated win chances: Everton 45.8%, draw 22.5%, Oldham 31.6%. From 3 and 5 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.84Expected goals1.50

From 3 and 5 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–110.4%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 1–27.8%
  • 2–27.2%
  • 1–06.9%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

72Hot streakEverton
Weighted momentum

Oldham arrives with stronger form weighting (+9 momentum).

81Hot streakOldham
Everton · hot formOldham · hot form

Everton

2W · 1D · 0L
Recent →DWW
Momentum index

Oldham

4W · 1D · 0L
Recent →DWWWW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Everton

7 pts
67% wins

2W · 1D · 0L · 3 played

For
9
Against
4
Goal diff +5

Oldham

13 pts
80% wins

4W · 1D · 0L · 5 played

For
13
Against
7
Goal diff +6

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Everton offensive edge

    Everton's attack (41%) vs Oldham's defense (36%).

    +5
  • Oldham offensive edge

    Oldham runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -5

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Everton41
Oldham59

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Everton64
Oldham36

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Everton72
Oldham81

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Everton60
Oldham40

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Everton30
Oldham30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Everton35
Oldham65

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Everton50
Oldham50
Evertonhot form
Oldhamhot form

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

0Everton0%
1Draws
0Oldham0%

Recent meetings

Oldham
2 – 2FT
Everton

FA Cup5th Round