Goal expectancy
1.32Expected goals1.36
From 7 and 7 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Express 36.1%, draw 25.9%, Sc Villa 38%. From 7 and 7 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
38Cold spellExpress
Weighted momentum
Sc Villa arrives with stronger form weighting (+14 momentum).
52BuildingSc Villa
Express · low scoring · cold form
Express
2W · 3D · 2LRecent →DLDWDLW
Momentum index
Sc Villa
3W · 2D · 2LRecent →WDDLWLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSc Villa +2
Express
9 pts29% wins
2W · 3D · 2L · 7 played
For6
Against8
Sc Villa
11 pts43% wins
3W · 2D · 2L · 7 played
For15
Against9
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Express offensive edge
Express faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-13 - Sc Villa offensive edge
Sc Villa's attack (73%) vs Express's defense (60%).
+13
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Expresslow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 6 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Express33%
0Draws
4Sc Villa67%