Goal expectancy
1.56Expected goals1.37
From 7 and 8 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Farnborough 0-1 Dover Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Farnborough
Estimated win chances: Farnborough 42%, draw 24.5%, Dover 33.5%. From 7 and 8 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
40MixedFarnborough
Weighted momentum
Dover arrives with stronger form weighting (+8 momentum).
48MixedDover
Farnborough · low scoringDover · leaky defense
Farnborough
3W · 1D · 3LRecent →LLWDWLW
Momentum index
Dover
3W · 2D · 3LRecent →WLDDWLWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Farnborough
10 pts43% wins
3W · 1D · 3L · 7 played
For6
Against10
Dover
11 pts38% wins
3W · 2D · 3L · 8 played
For14
Against16
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Farnborough offensive edge
Farnborough faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-10 - Dover offensive edge
Dover's attack (69%) vs Farnborough's defense (59%).
+10
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Farnboroughlow scoring
Doverleaky defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 7 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Farnborough43%
1Draws
3Dover43%