Goal expectancy
1.94Expected goals1.26
From 9 and 9 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Farsta
Estimated win chances: Farsta 53.2%, draw 22.1%, Smedby 24.7%. From 9 and 9 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
56BuildingFarsta
Weighted momentum
Farsta carries the sharper recent run (+26 momentum).
30Cold spellSmedby
Smedby · High-risk / fragile
Farsta
5W · 0D · 4LRecent →WWLLLWWLW
Momentum index
Smedby
2W · 4D · 3LRecent →LLLDWDWDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapFarsta +5
Farsta
15 pts56% wins
5W · 0D · 4L · 9 played
For16
Against13
Smedby
10 pts22% wins
2W · 4D · 3L · 9 played
For13
Against20
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Farsta offensive edge
Farsta's attack (58%) vs Smedby's defense (35%).
+23 - Smedby offensive edge
Smedby runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-23
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
SmedbyHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Farsta50%
0Draws
1Smedby50%