Goal expectancy
1.73Expected goals1.03
From 38 and 36 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
FAS 5-1 Santa Tecla Prediction
Balanced — model leans Fas
Estimated win chances: Fas 53.8%, draw 23.7%, Santa Tecla 22.5%. From 38 and 36 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
55BuildingFas
Weighted momentum
Fas carries the sharper recent run (+23 momentum).
32Cold spellSanta Tecla
Santa Tecla · High-risk / fragile
Fas
18W · 11D · 9LRecent →LWWLDLWWDDLWWDLDDDWWWWWWDDLWDWDLWLWWWL
Momentum index
Santa Tecla
6W · 10D · 20LRecent →LWLLWDWLDWWLLLLDDLDDLLLLDDDLWLLLLDLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Fas
65 pts47% wins
18W · 11D · 9L · 38 played
For56
Against44
Santa Tecla
28 pts17% wins
6W · 10D · 20L · 36 played
For37
Against60
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Fas offensive edge
Fas faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-2 - Santa Tecla offensive edge
Santa Tecla's attack (47%) vs Fas's defense (45%).
+2
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Santa TeclaHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 7 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Fas43%
2Draws
2Santa Tecla29%