Goal expectancy
1.58Expected goals1.49
From 26 and 26 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
FC Cajamarca 1-2 Cusco Prediction
Open / transitional — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Fc Cajamarca 40%, draw 24%, Cusco 36.1%. From 26 and 26 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
39Cold spellFc Cajamarca
Weighted momentum
Cusco arrives with stronger form weighting (+18 momentum).
57BuildingCusco
Fc Cajamarca · High-risk / fragile
Fc Cajamarca
7W · 6D · 13LRecent →WLWLLWLLDDDWWWLLDLLLLLWLDD
Momentum index
Cusco
13W · 3D · 10LRecent →LWWLWLWLWWWLDDWWLWWLWLWLDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapCusco +15
Fc Cajamarca
27 pts27% wins
7W · 6D · 13L · 26 played
For40
Against50
Cusco
42 pts50% wins
13W · 3D · 10L · 26 played
For38
Against37
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Fc Cajamarca offensive edge
Fc Cajamarca faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-11 - Cusco offensive edge
Cusco's attack (41%) vs Fc Cajamarca's defense (30%).
+11
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Fc CajamarcaHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
1Fc Cajamarca100%
0Draws
0Cusco0%