Goal expectancy
1.36Expected goals1.66
From 19 and 20 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Auerbach
Estimated win chances: Fc Grimma 31.5%, draw 23.9%, Auerbach 44.6%. From 19 and 20 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
20Cold spellFc Grimma
Weighted momentum
Auerbach arrives with stronger form weighting (+31 momentum).
51MixedAuerbach
Fc Grimma · High-risk / fragile
Fc Grimma
4W · 2D · 13LRecent →DLLLWLLLLLLLWDLWLLW
Momentum index
Auerbach
9W · 3D · 8LRecent →DWWLDLWLLWWWDLWLWLWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Fc Grimma
14 pts21% wins
4W · 2D · 13L · 19 played
For18
Against44
Auerbach
30 pts45% wins
9W · 3D · 8L · 20 played
For32
Against29
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Fc Grimma offensive edge
Fc Grimma faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-23 - Auerbach offensive edge
Auerbach's attack (64%) vs Fc Grimma's defense (41%).
+23
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Fc GrimmaHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
0Fc Grimma0%
1Draws
2Auerbach67%