Goal expectancy
1.46Expected goals1.49
From 4 and 4 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Fc Grimma 37.1%, draw 24.5%, Auerbach 38.4%. From 4 and 4 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
34Cold spellFc Grimma
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
39Cold spellAuerbach
Fc Grimma · High-risk / fragileAuerbach · High-risk / fragile
Fc Grimma
1W · 0D · 3LRecent →WLLL
Momentum index
Auerbach
1W · 1D · 2LRecent →DWLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapAuerbach +1
Fc Grimma
3 pts25% wins
1W · 0D · 3L · 4 played
For3
Against12
Auerbach
4 pts25% wins
1W · 1D · 2L · 4 played
For4
Against7
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Fc Grimma offensive edge
Fc Grimma faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-20 - Auerbach offensive edge
Auerbach's attack (57%) vs Fc Grimma's defense (37%).
+20
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Fc GrimmaHigh-risk / fragile
AuerbachHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 6 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Fc Grimma33%
1Draws
3Auerbach50%