FC Midtjylland 3-2 Aarhus Prediction

FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland
3 — 2FT
AarhusAarhus
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

Fc MidtjyllandFc MidtjyllandvsAarhusAarhus

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Fc Midtjylland

Estimated win chances: Fc Midtjylland 43.7%, draw 24.6%, Aarhus 31.7%. From 32 and 32 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.58Expected goals1.31

From 32 and 32 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111.9%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 1–09.1%
  • 1–27.8%
  • 0–17.5%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

51MixedFc Midtjylland
Weighted momentum

Fc Midtjylland carries the sharper recent run (+11 momentum).

40MixedAarhus

Fc Midtjylland

11W · 11D · 10L
Recent →DWWLWWWLDDDWWLDLDWDDLLDLWDLLWDWL
Momentum index

Aarhus

11W · 8D · 13L
Recent →WWLDDLLLLWLLDWDLLLWDWWDWWWLLWLDD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapFc Midtjylland +3

Fc Midtjylland

44 pts
34% wins

11W · 11D · 10L · 32 played

For
48
Against
45
Goal diff +3

Aarhus

41 pts
34% wins

11W · 8D · 13L · 32 played

For
48
Against
46
Goal diff +2

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Fc Midtjylland offensive edge

    Fc Midtjylland faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -5
  • Aarhus offensive edge

    Aarhus's attack (38%) vs Fc Midtjylland's defense (33%).

    +5

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Fc Midtjylland62
Aarhus38

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Fc Midtjylland33
Aarhus67

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Fc Midtjylland51
Aarhus40

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Fc Midtjylland40
Aarhus60

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Fc Midtjylland30
Aarhus30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Fc Midtjylland56
Aarhus44

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Fc Midtjylland29
Aarhus71