Goal expectancy
1.44Expected goals1.23
From 14 and 15 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Fc Tulsa
Estimated win chances: Fc Tulsa 41.9%, draw 25.8%, Lexington 32.2%. From 14 and 15 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
56BuildingFc Tulsa
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
55BuildingLexington
Fc Tulsa
6W · 4D · 4LRecent →WLWLDWWWDLDWDL
Momentum index
Lexington
6W · 3D · 6LRecent →WLWWWLWLDLDLWDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Fc Tulsa
22 pts43% wins
6W · 4D · 4L · 14 played
For18
Against16
Lexington
21 pts40% wins
6W · 3D · 6L · 15 played
For24
Against20
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Fc Tulsa offensive edge
Fc Tulsa faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-26 - Lexington offensive edge
Lexington's attack (72%) vs Fc Tulsa's defense (46%).
+26
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Fc Tulsa50%
0Draws
1Lexington50%