Fenix 2-0 Progreso Prediction

FenixFenix
2 — 0FT
ProgresoProgreso
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

FenixFenixvsProgresoProgreso

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Fenix

Estimated win chances: Fenix 47.3%, draw 22.7%, Progreso 30.1%. From 5 and 5 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.84Expected goals1.43

From 5 and 5 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–110.6%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–27.6%
  • 1–07.4%
  • 2–27%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

56BuildingFenix
Weighted momentum

Fenix carries the sharper recent run (+22 momentum).

34Cold spellProgreso
Fenix · leaky defenseProgreso · High-risk / fragile

Fenix

3W · 0D · 2L
Recent →WLLWW
Momentum index

Progreso

2W · 1D · 2L
Recent →LLDWW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapFenix +2

Fenix

9 pts
60% wins

3W · 0D · 2L · 5 played

For
11
Against
9
Goal diff +2

Progreso

7 pts
40% wins

2W · 1D · 2L · 5 played

For
9
Against
9
Goal diff +0

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Fenix offensive edge

    Fenix's attack (55%) vs Progreso's defense (50%).

    +5
  • Progreso offensive edge

    Progreso runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -5

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Fenix55
Progreso45

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Fenix50
Progreso50

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Fenix56
Progreso34

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Fenix60
Progreso40

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Fenix37
Progreso37

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Fenix56
Progreso44

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Fenix0
Progreso0
Fenixleaky defense
ProgresoHigh-risk / fragile