Fenix 1-0 Progreso Prediction

FenixFenix
1 — 0FT
ProgresoProgreso
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

FenixFenixvsProgresoProgreso

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — too close to call

Estimated win chances: Fenix 37.2%, draw 25.1%, Progreso 37.7%. From 12 and 12 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.41Expected goals1.42

From 12 and 12 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–28.6%
  • 0–18.6%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 1–08.6%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

23Cold spellFenix
Weighted momentum

Progreso arrives with stronger form weighting (+33 momentum).

56BuildingProgreso
Fenix · low scoring · cold formProgreso · leaky defense

Fenix

1W · 4D · 7L
Recent →WLLLDLLDDLDL
Momentum index

Progreso

7W · 3D · 2L
Recent →LLWDWDWWDWWW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapProgreso +17

Fenix

7 pts
8% wins

1W · 4D · 7L · 12 played

For
9
Against
16
Goal diff -7

Progreso

24 pts
58% wins

7W · 3D · 2L · 12 played

For
24
Against
20
Goal diff +4

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Fenix offensive edge

    Fenix's attack (45%) vs Progreso's defense (44%).

    +1
  • Progreso offensive edge

    Progreso runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -1

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Fenix45
Progreso55

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Fenix56
Progreso44

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Fenix23
Progreso56

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Fenix52
Progreso48

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Fenix30
Progreso34

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Fenix36
Progreso64

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Fenix50
Progreso50
Fenixlow scoring · cold form
Progresoleaky defense

H2H in this snapshot

From 7 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.

4Fenix57%
1Draws
2Progreso29%

Recent meetings

Progreso
1 – 0FT
Fenix

Primera División - ClausuraRound 4
Fenix
1 – 2FT
Progreso

Primera División - ClausuraClausura, round 12
Fenix
1 – 1FT
Progreso

Primera División - AperturaApertura, round 4
Progreso
0 – 1FT
Fenix

Primera División - ClausuraClausura, round 4
Progreso
3 – 0FT
Fenix

Primera División - AperturaApertura, round 12
Progreso
1 – 0FT
Fenix

Primera División - ClausuraClausura, round 10
Fenix
2 – 1FT
Progreso

Primera División - AperturaApertura, round 10