Goal expectancy
1.30Expected goals1.20
From 11 and 11 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Estimated win chances: Fermana 38.9%, draw 27%, Sora 34.1%. From 11 and 11 competition matches.
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
1.30Expected goals1.20
From 11 and 11 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
Sora arrives with stronger form weighting (+15 momentum).
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
2W · 3D · 6L · 11 played
3W · 5D · 3L · 11 played
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
Fermana faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-9Sora's attack (63%) vs Fermana's defense (53%).
+10Comparison indices from the match data partner.