Fermana 2-2 Termoli Calcio Prediction

FermanaFermana
2 — 2FT
Termoli CalcioTermoli Calcio
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

FermanaFermanavsTermoli CalcioTermoli Calcio

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Defensive grind — model leans Fermana

Estimated win chances: Fermana 40.2%, draw 28.7%, Termoli Calcio 31.2%. From 13 and 13 competition matches.

Low tempo / cagey
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.21Expected goals1.03

From 13 and 13 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.4%
  • 1–013%
  • 0–111.1%
  • 0–010.8%
  • 2–18.1%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

32Cold spellFermana
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

27Cold spellTermoli Calcio
Fermana · low scoring · cold formTermoli Calcio · low scoring · cold form

Fermana

3W · 4D · 6L
Recent →WDLDLDLDLLWLW
Momentum index

Termoli Calcio

3W · 4D · 6L
Recent →DLDLLWLLLWDDW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapLevel on points

Fermana

13 pts
23% wins

3W · 4D · 6L · 13 played

For
8
Against
14
Goal diff -6

Termoli Calcio

13 pts
23% wins

3W · 4D · 6L · 13 played

For
13
Against
18
Goal diff -5

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Fermana offensive edge

    Fermana's attack (40%) vs Termoli Calcio's defense (33%).

    +7
  • Termoli Calcio offensive edge

    Termoli Calcio runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -7

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Fermana40
Termoli Calcio60

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Fermana67
Termoli Calcio33

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Fermana32
Termoli Calcio27

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Fermana64
Termoli Calcio36

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Fermana30
Termoli Calcio30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Fermana71
Termoli Calcio29

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Fermana0
Termoli Calcio0
Fermanalow scoring · cold form
Termoli Calciolow scoring · cold form