Fiorentina 0-1 Lecce Prediction

FiorentinaFiorentina
0 — 1FT
LecceLecce
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

FiorentinaFiorentinavsLecceLecce

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Fiorentina

Estimated win chances: Fiorentina 54.1%, draw 24.4%, Lecce 21.5%. From 17 and 17 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.66Expected goals0.95

From 17 and 17 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–012.6%
  • 1–112%
  • 2–010.4%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 0–07.6%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

41MixedFiorentina
Weighted momentum

Fiorentina carries the sharper recent run (+26 momentum).

15Cold spellLecce
Fiorentina · compact defenseLecce · High-risk / fragile

Fiorentina

5W · 6D · 6L
Recent →WDDLWLDLWLDDLDWLW
Momentum index

Lecce

2W · 3D · 12L
Recent →LLDLLLLWDLLDLLLWL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapFiorentina +12

Fiorentina

21 pts
29% wins

5W · 6D · 6L · 17 played

For
18
Against
15
Goal diff +3

Lecce

9 pts
12% wins

2W · 3D · 12L · 17 played

For
17
Against
34
Goal diff -17

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Fiorentina offensive edge

    Fiorentina's attack (50%) vs Lecce's defense (21%).

    +29
  • Lecce offensive edge

    Lecce runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -29

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Fiorentina50
Lecce50

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Fiorentina79
Lecce21

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Fiorentina41
Lecce15

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Fiorentina108
Lecce-8

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Fiorentina30
Lecce41

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Fiorentina89
Lecce11

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Fiorentina20
Lecce80
Fiorentinacompact defense
LecceHigh-risk / fragile