Goal expectancy
1.23Expected goals1.16
From 6 and 7 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Firpo 37.8%, draw 27.7%, Inter 34.4%. From 6 and 7 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
57BuildingFirpo
Weighted momentum
Inter arrives with stronger form weighting (+24 momentum).
81Hot streakInter
Firpo · compact defenseInter · compact defense · hot form
Firpo
3W · 2D · 1LRecent →LWDWWD
Momentum index
Inter
4W · 3D · 0LRecent →WWWWDDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Firpo
11 pts50% wins
3W · 2D · 1L · 6 played
For9
Against4
Inter
15 pts57% wins
4W · 3D · 0L · 7 played
For12
Against3
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Firpo offensive edge
Firpo faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-10 - Inter offensive edge
Inter's attack (60%) vs Firpo's defense (50%).
+10
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Firpocompact defense
Intercompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Firpo25%
2Draws
1Inter25%