Flamengo 2-2 Botafogo Prediction

FlamengoFlamengo
2 — 2FT
BotafogoBotafogo
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

FlamengoFlamengovsBotafogoBotafogo

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — too close to call

Estimated win chances: Flamengo 37.2%, draw 26.6%, Botafogo 36.2%. From 37 and 37 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.29Expected goals1.27

From 37 and 37 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.9%
  • 1–010.2%
  • 0–110%
  • 2–18.3%
  • 1–28.2%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

45MixedFlamengo
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

47MixedBotafogo
Flamengo · low scoring

Flamengo

12W · 13D · 12L
Recent →DDWWDWDDLDLWWDLLLLDDWLWWLDLLWLWLWWDDD
Momentum index

Botafogo

15W · 9D · 13L
Recent →LLWDWWWDLLLDDDWWWLDLWDLWWLLDDWWLWLLWW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapBotafogo +5

Flamengo

49 pts
32% wins

12W · 13D · 12L · 37 played

For
37
Against
44
Goal diff -7

Botafogo

54 pts
41% wins

15W · 9D · 13L · 37 played

For
58
Against
48
Goal diff +10

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Flamengo offensive edge

    Flamengo's attack (31%) vs Botafogo's defense (30%).

    +1
  • Botafogo offensive edge

    Botafogo runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -1

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Flamengo31
Botafogo69

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Flamengo70
Botafogo30

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Flamengo45
Botafogo47

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Flamengo52
Botafogo48

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Flamengo30
Botafogo30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Flamengo56
Botafogo44

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Flamengo64
Botafogo36
Flamengolow scoring