Flamengo 1-0 Coritiba Prediction

FlamengoFlamengo
1 — 0FT
CoritibaCoritiba
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

FlamengoFlamengovsCoritibaCoritiba

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Flamengo

Estimated win chances: Flamengo 49.1%, draw 23.7%, Coritiba 27.2%. From 14 and 14 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.73Expected goals1.23

From 14 and 14 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111.5%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 1–09.3%
  • 2–08.1%
  • 1–27.1%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

77Hot streakFlamengo
Weighted momentum

Flamengo carries the sharper recent run (+30 momentum).

47MixedCoritiba
Flamengo · compact defense · hot form

Flamengo

8W · 6D · 0L
Recent →WWWDDWWWWDDDDW
Momentum index

Coritiba

5W · 3D · 6L
Recent →DWLDWLWWLDLWLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapFlamengo +12

Flamengo

30 pts
57% wins

8W · 6D · 0L · 14 played

For
27
Against
13
Goal diff +14

Coritiba

18 pts
36% wins

5W · 3D · 6L · 14 played

For
25
Against
20
Goal diff +5

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Flamengo offensive edge

    Flamengo's attack (47%) vs Coritiba's defense (42%).

    +5
  • Coritiba offensive edge

    Coritiba runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -5

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Flamengo47
Coritiba53

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Flamengo58
Coritiba42

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Flamengo77
Coritiba47

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Flamengo60
Coritiba40

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Flamengo30
Coritiba30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Flamengo58
Coritiba42

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Flamengo0
Coritiba0
Flamengocompact defense · hot form