Flamengo 3-1 Coritiba Prediction

FlamengoFlamengo
3 — 1FT
CoritibaCoritiba
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

FlamengoFlamengovsCoritibaCoritiba

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Flamengo

Estimated win chances: Flamengo 46%, draw 23.8%, Coritiba 30.3%. From 3 and 3 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.69Expected goals1.33

From 3 and 3 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111.4%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–08.6%
  • 1–27.6%
  • 2–07.3%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

33Cold spellFlamengo
Weighted momentum

Coritiba arrives with stronger form weighting (+9 momentum).

42MixedCoritiba
Flamengo · High-risk / fragileCoritiba · leaky defense

Flamengo

0W · 3D · 0L
Recent →DDD
Momentum index

Coritiba

1W · 0D · 2L
Recent →WLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapLevel on points

Flamengo

3 pts
0% wins

0W · 3D · 0L · 3 played

For
6
Against
6
Goal diff +0

Coritiba

3 pts
33% wins

1W · 0D · 2L · 3 played

For
4
Against
5
Goal diff -1

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Flamengo offensive edge

    Flamengo's attack (60%) vs Coritiba's defense (55%).

    +5
  • Coritiba offensive edge

    Coritiba runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -5

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Flamengo60
Coritiba40

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Flamengo45
Coritiba55

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Flamengo33
Coritiba42

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Flamengo60
Coritiba40

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Flamengo41
Coritiba34

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Flamengo50
Coritiba50

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Flamengo50
Coritiba50
FlamengoHigh-risk / fragile
Coritibaleaky defense