Flamengo 1-1 Fluminense Prediction

FlamengoFlamengo
1 — 1FT
FluminenseFluminense
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

FlamengoFlamengovsFluminenseFluminense

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Flamengo

Estimated win chances: Flamengo 47%, draw 25.5%, Fluminense 27.6%. From 32 and 32 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.53Expected goals1.11

From 32 and 32 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.4%
  • 1–011.2%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 2–08.6%
  • 0–18.1%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

59BuildingFlamengo
Weighted momentum

Flamengo carries the sharper recent run (+17 momentum).

42MixedFluminense

Flamengo

16W · 8D · 8L
Recent →WWLLWWDWDLWDWDLWDDDWWLWWDWWWLLLW
Momentum index

Fluminense

13W · 7D · 12L
Recent →DLLWLDLLWLWDWLWWLDWLWDDWLLWWDLWW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapFlamengo +10

Flamengo

56 pts
50% wins

16W · 8D · 8L · 32 played

For
49
Against
36
Goal diff +13

Fluminense

46 pts
41% wins

13W · 7D · 12L · 32 played

For
42
Against
41
Goal diff +1

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Flamengo offensive edge

    Flamengo's attack (64%) vs Fluminense's defense (42%).

    +22
  • Fluminense offensive edge

    Fluminense runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -22

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Flamengo64
Fluminense36

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Flamengo58
Fluminense42

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Flamengo59
Fluminense42

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Flamengo94
Fluminense6

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Flamengo30
Fluminense30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Flamengo69
Fluminense31

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Flamengo62
Fluminense38