Goal expectancy
1.57Expected goals0.93
From 14 and 14 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Flamengo 0-0 Fluminense Prediction
Balanced — model leans Flamengo
Estimated win chances: Flamengo 52.3%, draw 25.3%, Fluminense 22.3%. From 14 and 14 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
87Hot streakFlamengo
Weighted momentum
Flamengo carries the sharper recent run (+33 momentum).
54BuildingFluminense
Flamengo · compact defense · hot formFluminense · compact defense
Flamengo
10W · 2D · 2LRecent →WWWWWWDWWWWLDL
Momentum index
Fluminense
5W · 6D · 3LRecent →LDWWWDWDLDWDLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapFlamengo +11
Flamengo
32 pts71% wins
10W · 2D · 2L · 14 played
For30
Against7
Fluminense
21 pts36% wins
5W · 6D · 3L · 14 played
For18
Against11
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Flamengo offensive edge
Flamengo's attack (55%) vs Fluminense's defense (33%).
+22 - Fluminense offensive edge
Fluminense runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-22
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Flamengocompact defense · hot form
Fluminensecompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
0Flamengo0%
1Draws
3Fluminense75%