Fluminense 1-0 Corinthians Prediction

FluminenseFluminense
1 — 0FT
CorinthiansCorinthians
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

FluminenseFluminensevsCorinthiansCorinthians

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — too close to call

Estimated win chances: Fluminense 37.9%, draw 26.6%, Corinthians 35.5%. From 22 and 22 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.31Expected goals1.26

From 22 and 22 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.9%
  • 1–010.2%
  • 0–19.8%
  • 2–18.4%
  • 1–28.1%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

54BuildingFluminense
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

57BuildingCorinthians

Fluminense

11W · 1D · 10L
Recent →WWWLLDWLLWWLWLLWWLLWWL
Momentum index

Corinthians

13W · 4D · 5L
Recent →WLWLLWDDDWLLWWWWWWWDWW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapCorinthians +9

Fluminense

34 pts
50% wins

11W · 1D · 10L · 22 played

For
29
Against
26
Goal diff +3

Corinthians

43 pts
59% wins

13W · 4D · 5L · 22 played

For
35
Against
22
Goal diff +13

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Fluminense offensive edge

    Fluminense's attack (60%) vs Corinthians's defense (50%).

    +10
  • Corinthians offensive edge

    Corinthians runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -10

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Fluminense60
Corinthians40

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Fluminense50
Corinthians50

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Fluminense54
Corinthians57

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Fluminense70
Corinthians30

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Fluminense30
Corinthians30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Fluminense60
Corinthians40

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Fluminense0
Corinthians100