Goal expectancy
1.45Expected goals1.03
From 13 and 13 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Fluminense 2-0 Internacional Prediction
Balanced — model leans Fluminense
Estimated win chances: Fluminense 46.8%, draw 26.4%, Internacional 26.8%. From 13 and 13 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
49MixedFluminense
Weighted momentum
Internacional arrives with stronger form weighting (+9 momentum).
58BuildingInternacional
Internacional · low scoring
Fluminense
6W · 3D · 4LRecent →LWDDWLLWWDLWW
Momentum index
Internacional
6W · 3D · 4LRecent →DWWWDWLLLLWWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLevel on points
Fluminense
21 pts46% wins
6W · 3D · 4L · 13 played
For19
Against14
Internacional
21 pts46% wins
6W · 3D · 4L · 13 played
For13
Against14
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Fluminense offensive edge
Fluminense faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-13 - Internacional offensive edge
Internacional's attack (46%) vs Fluminense's defense (33%).
+13
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Internacionallow scoring