Goal expectancy
1.02Expected goals1.17
From 13 and 11 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Fluminense 1-1 Internacional Prediction
Defensive grind — model leans Internacional
Estimated win chances: Fluminense 31.7%, draw 29.1%, Internacional 39.2%. From 13 and 11 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
10Cold spellFluminense
Weighted momentum
Internacional arrives with stronger form weighting (+40 momentum).
50MixedInternacional
Fluminense · low scoring · cold formInternacional · Structured / conservative
Fluminense
1W · 3D · 9LRecent →LLLLLLDLDLWLD
Momentum index
Internacional
5W · 3D · 3LRecent →DLWWLDWDLWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Fluminense
6 pts8% wins
1W · 3D · 9L · 13 played
For10
Against21
Internacional
18 pts45% wins
5W · 3D · 3L · 11 played
For10
Against8
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Fluminense offensive edge
Fluminense faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-41 - Internacional offensive edge
Internacional's attack (83%) vs Fluminense's defense (42%).
+41
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Fluminenselow scoring · cold form
InternacionalStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
0Fluminense0%
2Draws
1Internacional33%