Fluminense 1-2 Vasco DA Gama Prediction

FluminenseFluminense
1 — 2FT
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

FluminenseFluminensevsVasco Da GamaVasco Da Gama

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Fluminense

Estimated win chances: Fluminense 50.8%, draw 25.8%, Vasco Da Gama 23.5%. From 37 and 37 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.53Expected goals0.95

From 37 and 37 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–013.1%
  • 1–112.5%
  • 2–010%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 0–08.6%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

67BuildingFluminense
Weighted momentum

Fluminense carries the sharper recent run (+27 momentum).

40MixedVasco Da Gama
Fluminense · compact defense · hot form

Fluminense

22W · 11D · 4L
Recent →DLWDWLDWWWWWLWWWDDWWDWWWDLWWDWWWWDDDW
Momentum index

Vasco Da Gama

15W · 10D · 12L
Recent →DWDLLLLLLWWDDWLDWLLLDLWDDWWWWDWLDWWWW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapFluminense +22

Fluminense

77 pts
59% wins

22W · 11D · 4L · 37 played

For
60
Against
31
Goal diff +29

Vasco Da Gama

55 pts
41% wins

15W · 10D · 12L · 37 played

For
43
Against
43
Goal diff +0

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Fluminense offensive edge

    Fluminense's attack (64%) vs Vasco Da Gama's defense (50%).

    +14
  • Vasco Da Gama offensive edge

    Vasco Da Gama runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -14

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Fluminense64
Vasco Da Gama36

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Fluminense50
Vasco Da Gama50

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Fluminense67
Vasco Da Gama40

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Fluminense78
Vasco Da Gama22

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Fluminense30
Vasco Da Gama30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Fluminense62
Vasco Da Gama38

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Fluminense62
Vasco Da Gama38
Fluminensecompact defense · hot form