Goal expectancy
1.36Expected goals1.26
From 15 and 14 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Foncha St 39.2%, draw 26.2%, Tonnerre 34.5%. From 15 and 14 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
37Cold spellFoncha St
Weighted momentum
Tonnerre arrives with stronger form weighting (+9 momentum).
46MixedTonnerre
Foncha St · High-risk / fragile
Foncha St
5W · 2D · 8LRecent →DLLWLLWWLWDLLWL
Momentum index
Tonnerre
5W · 1D · 8LRecent →WLWLWDLLWWLLLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Foncha St
17 pts33% wins
5W · 2D · 8L · 15 played
For19
Against26
Tonnerre
16 pts36% wins
5W · 1D · 8L · 14 played
For15
Against16
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Foncha St offensive edge
Foncha St faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-13 - Tonnerre offensive edge
Tonnerre's attack (53%) vs Foncha St's defense (40%).
+13
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Foncha StHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Foncha St20%
1Draws
3Tonnerre60%