Goal expectancy
1.29Expected goals1.23
From 6 and 8 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Fonte Nova 0-2 Amazônia PA Prediction
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Fonte Nova 38%, draw 26.9%, Amazônia Pa 35.1%. From 6 and 8 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
44MixedFonte Nova
Weighted momentum
Amazônia Pa arrives with stronger form weighting (+16 momentum).
60BuildingAmazônia Pa
Amazônia Pa · compact defense
Fonte Nova
2W · 1D · 3LRecent →WDLLWL
Momentum index
Amazônia Pa
5W · 2D · 1LRecent →DDLWWWWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Fonte Nova
7 pts33% wins
2W · 1D · 3L · 6 played
For7
Against7
Amazônia Pa
17 pts63% wins
5W · 2D · 1L · 8 played
For12
Against7
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Fonte Nova offensive edge
Fonte Nova's attack (54%) vs Amazônia Pa's defense (46%).
+8 - Amazônia Pa offensive edge
Amazônia Pa runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-8
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Amazônia Pacompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
0Fonte Nova0%
0Draws
1Amazônia Pa100%