Goal expectancy
1.77Expected goals0.99
From 13 and 14 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Forward Madison 4-0 Richmond Kickers Prediction
Balanced — model leans Forward Madison
Estimated win chances: Forward Madison 55.7%, draw 23.3%, Richmond Kickers 21%. From 13 and 14 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
61BuildingForward Madison
Weighted momentum
Forward Madison carries the sharper recent run (+35 momentum).
26Cold spellRichmond Kickers
Richmond Kickers · High-risk / fragile
Forward Madison
7W · 2D · 4LRecent →WWDWLWLLWDLWW
Momentum index
Richmond Kickers
3W · 3D · 8LRecent →DLLLLDLWWWLLLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Forward Madison
23 pts54% wins
7W · 2D · 4L · 13 played
For22
Against14
Richmond Kickers
12 pts21% wins
3W · 3D · 8L · 14 played
For12
Against24
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Forward Madison offensive edge
Forward Madison's attack (83%) vs Richmond Kickers's defense (29%).
+54 - Richmond Kickers offensive edge
Richmond Kickers runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-54
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Richmond KickersHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
5Forward Madison50%
1Draws
4Richmond Kickers40%