Goal expectancy
1.79Expected goals1.35
From 11 and 10 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Fos 0-0 Lyon Duchere Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Fos
Estimated win chances: Fos 47.9%, draw 23.1%, Lyon Duchere 29%. From 11 and 10 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
60BuildingFos
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
61BuildingLyon Duchere
Fos
5W · 4D · 2LRecent →DWDDWWWLLWD
Momentum index
Lyon Duchere
5W · 2D · 3LRecent →DWDWWWLLLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Fos
19 pts45% wins
5W · 4D · 2L · 11 played
For24
Against14
Lyon Duchere
17 pts50% wins
5W · 2D · 3L · 10 played
For18
Against13
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Fos offensive edge
Fos faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-5 - Lyon Duchere offensive edge
Lyon Duchere's attack (55%) vs Fos's defense (50%).
+5
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.