Fossano 0-1 Vogherese Prediction

FossanoFossano
0 — 1FT
VoghereseVogherese

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Fossano

Estimated win chances: Fossano 43.7%, draw 24.7%, Vogherese 31.6%. From 5 and 5 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.57Expected goals1.30

From 5 and 5 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 1–09.2%
  • 1–27.8%
  • 0–17.6%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

36Cold spellFossano
Weighted momentum

Fossano carries the sharper recent run (+32 momentum).

4Cold spellVogherese
Fossano · High-risk / fragileVogherese · High-risk / fragile

Fossano

2W · 0D · 3L
Recent →LWLLW
Momentum index

Vogherese

0W · 1D · 4L
Recent →LLLLD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapFossano +5

Fossano

6 pts
40% wins

2W · 0D · 3L · 5 played

For
6
Against
10
Goal diff -4

Vogherese

1 pts
0% wins

0W · 1D · 4L · 5 played

For
5
Against
9
Goal diff -4

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Fossano offensive edge

    Fossano's attack (55%) vs Vogherese's defense (53%).

    +2
  • Vogherese offensive edge

    Vogherese runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -2

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Fossano55
Vogherese45

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Fossano47
Vogherese53

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Fossano36
Vogherese4

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Fossano54
Vogherese46

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Fossano41
Vogherese37

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Fossano86
Vogherese14

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Fossano0
Vogherese0
FossanoHigh-risk / fragile
VoghereseHigh-risk / fragile