Goal expectancy
1.82Expected goals1.50
From 16 and 16 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Frauenfeld 1-1 Arbon Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Frauenfeld
Estimated win chances: Frauenfeld 45.4%, draw 22.7%, Arbon 32%. From 16 and 16 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
38Cold spellFrauenfeld
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
38Cold spellArbon
Frauenfeld · High-risk / fragileArbon · High-risk / fragile
Frauenfeld
6W · 3D · 7LRecent →WLDLWLLLLWDDWLWW
Momentum index
Arbon
6W · 1D · 9LRecent →WLLLWLLWWLLLDWWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapFrauenfeld +2
Frauenfeld
21 pts38% wins
6W · 3D · 7L · 16 played
For23
Against28
Arbon
19 pts38% wins
6W · 1D · 9L · 16 played
For27
Against33
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Frauenfeld offensive edge
Frauenfeld faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-3 - Arbon offensive edge
Arbon's attack (61%) vs Frauenfeld's defense (58%).
+3
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
FrauenfeldHigh-risk / fragile
ArbonHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
0Frauenfeld0%
0Draws
1Arbon100%