Goal expectancy
2.21Expected goals1.26
From 18 and 17 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Fügen
Estimated win chances: Fügen 58.9%, draw 20%, Mils 21%. From 18 and 17 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
69Hot streakFügen
Weighted momentum
Fügen carries the sharper recent run (+33 momentum).
36Cold spellMils
Fügen · hot formMils · High-risk / fragile
Fügen
12W · 1D · 5LRecent →LWWWWWLWWLDLWWWWWL
Momentum index
Mils
5W · 4D · 8LRecent →DLLLWWWDDLLLWDLLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Fügen
37 pts67% wins
12W · 1D · 5L · 18 played
For42
Against25
Mils
19 pts29% wins
5W · 4D · 8L · 17 played
For24
Against36
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Fügen offensive edge
Fügen's attack (71%) vs Mils's defense (26%).
+45 - Mils offensive edge
Mils runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-45
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Fügenhot form
MilsHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Fügen40%
1Draws
2Mils40%