Goal expectancy
1.73Expected goals0.94
From 9 and 9 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Gaadiidka
Estimated win chances: Gaadiidka 56%, draw 23.7%, Badbaado 20.3%. From 9 and 9 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
33Cold spellGaadiidka
Weighted momentum
Gaadiidka carries the sharper recent run (+12 momentum).
21Cold spellBadbaado
Gaadiidka · Structured / conservativeBadbaado · High-risk / fragile
Gaadiidka
3W · 1D · 5LRecent →DLLWLLWWL
Momentum index
Badbaado
1W · 3D · 5LRecent →LDDLLDWLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapGaadiidka +4
Gaadiidka
10 pts33% wins
3W · 1D · 5L · 9 played
For9
Against8
Badbaado
6 pts11% wins
1W · 3D · 5L · 9 played
For7
Against22
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Gaadiidka offensive edge
Gaadiidka's attack (63%) vs Badbaado's defense (35%).
+28 - Badbaado offensive edge
Badbaado runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-27
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
GaadiidkaStructured / conservative
BadbaadoHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Gaadiidka50%
0Draws
2Badbaado50%