Goal expectancy
1.01Expected goals1.66
From 32 and 32 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Gap 1-2 Saint-Étienne II Prediction
Balanced — model leans Saint-étienne Ii
Estimated win chances: Gap 23%, draw 24.4%, Saint-étienne Ii 52.6%. From 32 and 32 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
7Cold spellGap
Weighted momentum
Saint-étienne Ii arrives with stronger form weighting (+43 momentum).
50MixedSaint-étienne Ii
Gap · High-risk / fragile
Gap
1W · 7D · 24LRecent →LLLLLLLLLLDLDLLLLDLLDDLDLLLWLLDL
Momentum index
Saint-étienne Ii
12W · 10D · 10LRecent →WLDLWDDWWWDDLDDWDWLLLWWWDWLLLLWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSaint-étienne Ii +36
Gap
10 pts3% wins
1W · 7D · 24L · 32 played
For21
Against68
Saint-étienne Ii
46 pts38% wins
12W · 10D · 10L · 32 played
For53
Against33
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Gap offensive edge
Gap faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-43 - Saint-étienne Ii offensive edge
Saint-étienne Ii's attack (78%) vs Gap's defense (35%).
+43
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
GapHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
1Gap100%
0Draws
0Saint-étienne Ii0%