Goal expectancy
1.72Expected goals1.35
From 33 and 33 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Gareji
Estimated win chances: Gareji 46.2%, draw 23.6%, Rustavi 30.2%. From 33 and 33 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
66BuildingGareji
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
59BuildingRustavi
Gareji · hot form
Gareji
17W · 9D · 7LRecent →DWDDWWWWLWDWWWWWDLLWDDWWLWWLDWLDL
Momentum index
Rustavi
18W · 5D · 10LRecent →LWWWLWLLWLWDLWWDWWDLWWDWWWLDWWLWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapGareji +1
Gareji
60 pts52% wins
17W · 9D · 7L · 33 played
For70
Against42
Rustavi
59 pts55% wins
18W · 5D · 10L · 33 played
For57
Against35
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Gareji offensive edge
Gareji faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-12 - Rustavi offensive edge
Rustavi's attack (39%) vs Gareji's defense (27%).
+12
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Garejihot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 7 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Gareji43%
0Draws
4Rustavi57%