Goal expectancy
0.87Expected goals1.58
From 29 and 30 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Mutilvera
Estimated win chances: Gares 20.7%, draw 25.2%, Mutilvera 54.1%. From 29 and 30 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
22Cold spellGares
Weighted momentum
Mutilvera arrives with stronger form weighting (+52 momentum).
74Hot streakMutilvera
Gares · High-risk / fragileMutilvera · compact defense · hot form
Gares
5W · 5D · 19LRecent →LLLLLLLDLWLWDLWLWLWDLLLLLDLDL
Momentum index
Mutilvera
21W · 5D · 4LRecent →WLWLWWWWWDDWWDWWWDWWLDWWWWWLWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Gares
20 pts17% wins
5W · 5D · 19L · 29 played
For24
Against56
Mutilvera
68 pts70% wins
21W · 5D · 4L · 30 played
For52
Against19
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Gares offensive edge
Gares faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-64 - Mutilvera offensive edge
Mutilvera's attack (90%) vs Gares's defense (26%).
+64
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
GaresHigh-risk / fragile
Mutilveracompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
1Gares100%
0Draws
0Mutilvera0%