Goal expectancy
1.96Expected goals1.07
From 32 and 32 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Gemert
Estimated win chances: Gemert 58.1%, draw 21.7%, Stedoco 20.3%. From 32 and 32 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
59BuildingGemert
Weighted momentum
Gemert carries the sharper recent run (+33 momentum).
26Cold spellStedoco
Stedoco · High-risk / fragile
Gemert
16W · 9D · 7LRecent →LLWWDWLDWLDWWWLDWWDWWWWDWWDWDDLL
Momentum index
Stedoco
9W · 4D · 19LRecent →LWLLDLLLLWLDLLLLLLLWWWWLDDWLWLLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapGemert +26
Gemert
57 pts50% wins
16W · 9D · 7L · 32 played
For62
Against42
Stedoco
31 pts28% wins
9W · 4D · 19L · 32 played
For31
Against58
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Gemert offensive edge
Gemert's attack (53%) vs Stedoco's defense (47%).
+6 - Stedoco offensive edge
Stedoco runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-6
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
StedocoHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Gemert20%
0Draws
4Stedoco80%