Genk 2-4 Anderlecht Prediction

GenkGenk
2 — 4FT
AnderlechtAnderlecht

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — too close to call

Estimated win chances: Genk 36.4%, draw 23.3%, Anderlecht 40.3%. From 20 and 20 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.57Expected goals1.66

From 20 and 20 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–110.8%
  • 1–29%
  • 2–18.5%
  • 2–27.1%
  • 0–16.9%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

58BuildingGenk
Weighted momentum

Anderlecht arrives with stronger form weighting (+24 momentum).

82Hot streakAnderlecht
Anderlecht · compact defense · hot form

Genk

9W · 8D · 3L
Recent →LWWDLWWLDWDWWDDWDWDD
Momentum index

Anderlecht

14W · 4D · 2L
Recent →WWWWWWWWLWLWWDDDWWWD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapAnderlecht +11

Genk

35 pts
45% wins

9W · 8D · 3L · 20 played

For
40
Against
28
Goal diff +12

Anderlecht

46 pts
70% wins

14W · 4D · 2L · 20 played

For
49
Against
17
Goal diff +32

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Genk offensive edge

    Genk faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -33
  • Anderlecht offensive edge

    Anderlecht's attack (54%) vs Genk's defense (21%).

    +33

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Genk46
Anderlecht54

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Genk21
Anderlecht79

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Genk58
Anderlecht82

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Genk-16
Anderlecht116

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Genk30
Anderlecht30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Genk32
Anderlecht68

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Genk29
Anderlecht71
Anderlechtcompact defense · hot form