Goal expectancy
1.57Expected goals1.66
From 20 and 20 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Estimated win chances: Genk 36.4%, draw 23.3%, Anderlecht 40.3%. From 20 and 20 competition matches.
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
1.57Expected goals1.66
From 20 and 20 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
Anderlecht arrives with stronger form weighting (+24 momentum).
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
9W · 8D · 3L · 20 played
14W · 4D · 2L · 20 played
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
Genk faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-33Anderlecht's attack (54%) vs Genk's defense (21%).
+33Comparison indices from the match data partner.