Goal expectancy
1.13Expected goals1.47
From 7 and 7 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Genk W 0-2 Anderlecht W Prediction
Balanced — model leans Anderlecht W
Estimated win chances: Genk W 29.1%, draw 25.9%, Anderlecht W 45%. From 7 and 7 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
61BuildingGenk W
Weighted momentum
Anderlecht W arrives with stronger form weighting (+22 momentum).
83Hot streakAnderlecht W
Genk W · low scoringAnderlecht W · compact defense · hot form
Genk W
3W · 2D · 2LRecent →DWWWLDL
Momentum index
Anderlecht W
6W · 0D · 1LRecent →WWLWWWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapAnderlecht W +7
Genk W
11 pts43% wins
3W · 2D · 2L · 7 played
For7
Against7
Anderlecht W
18 pts86% wins
6W · 0D · 1L · 7 played
For18
Against4
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Genk W offensive edge
Genk W faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-6 - Anderlecht W offensive edge
Anderlecht W's attack (63%) vs Genk W's defense (57%).
+6
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Genk Wlow scoring
Anderlecht Wcompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
6Genk W60%
1Draws
3Anderlecht W30%