Genoa 2-4 Chievo Prediction

GenoaGenoa
2 — 4FT
ChievoChievo
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

GenoaGenoavsChievoChievo

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Genoa

Estimated win chances: Genoa 45.8%, draw 25.4%, Chievo 28.8%. From 14 and 14 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.53Expected goals1.16

From 14 and 14 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.4%
  • 1–010.7%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 2–08.2%
  • 0–18.1%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

25Cold spellGenoa
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

28Cold spellChievo
Genoa · low scoring · cold formChievo · High-risk / fragile

Genoa

3W · 3D · 8L
Recent →WLLLLLLDDDWLLW
Momentum index

Chievo

3W · 3D · 8L
Recent →DLDLWLDWLLLLLW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapLevel on points

Genoa

12 pts
21% wins

3W · 3D · 8L · 14 played

For
14
Against
22
Goal diff -8

Chievo

12 pts
21% wins

3W · 3D · 8L · 14 played

For
13
Against
25
Goal diff -12

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Genoa offensive edge

    Genoa faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -10
  • Chievo offensive edge

    Chievo's attack (60%) vs Genoa's defense (50%).

    +10

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Genoa40
Chievo60

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Genoa50
Chievo50

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Genoa25
Chievo28

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Genoa30
Chievo70

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Genoa32
Chievo37

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Genoa38
Chievo63

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Genoa9
Chievo91
Genoalow scoring · cold form
ChievoHigh-risk / fragile