Genoa 4-2 Lecce Prediction

GenoaGenoa
4 — 2FT
LecceLecce
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

GenoaGenoavsLecceLecce

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Genoa

Estimated win chances: Genoa 46.9%, draw 25.9%, Lecce 27.2%. From 33 and 33 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.49Expected goals1.07

From 33 and 33 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.6%
  • 1–011.8%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 2–08.8%
  • 0–18.5%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

42MixedGenoa
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

37Cold spellLecce
Genoa · low scoringLecce · High-risk / fragile

Genoa

11W · 9D · 13L
Recent →WLLDWLLWWDDLWDLDDLWDLWWLLWLWLDDLW
Momentum index

Lecce

9W · 8D · 16L
Recent →DWWLLLDWLLWDDDWLLWLLLLDLLWLWDDLWL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapGenoa +7

Genoa

42 pts
33% wins

11W · 9D · 13L · 33 played

For
34
Against
37
Goal diff -3

Lecce

35 pts
27% wins

9W · 8D · 16L · 33 played

For
38
Against
56
Goal diff -18

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Genoa offensive edge

    Genoa's attack (50%) vs Lecce's defense (45%).

    +5
  • Lecce offensive edge

    Lecce runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -5

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Genoa50
Lecce50

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Genoa55
Lecce45

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Genoa42
Lecce37

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Genoa60
Lecce40

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Genoa30
Lecce34

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Genoa50
Lecce50

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Genoa100
Lecce0
Genoalow scoring
LecceHigh-risk / fragile