Genoa 1-1 Palermo Prediction

GenoaGenoa
1 — 1FT
PalermoPalermo
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

GenoaGenoavsPalermoPalermo

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Genoa

Estimated win chances: Genoa 48.9%, draw 25.4%, Palermo 25.7%. From 6 and 6 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.55Expected goals1.05

From 6 and 6 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.4%
  • 1–011.8%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 2–09.2%
  • 0–18%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

42MixedGenoa
Weighted momentum

Genoa carries the sharper recent run (+13 momentum).

29Cold spellPalermo
Palermo · High-risk / fragile

Genoa

2W · 2D · 2L
Recent →DDWLLW
Momentum index

Palermo

1W · 1D · 4L
Recent →WLLDLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapGenoa +4

Genoa

8 pts
33% wins

2W · 2D · 2L · 6 played

For
7
Against
7
Goal diff +0

Palermo

4 pts
17% wins

1W · 1D · 4L · 6 played

For
5
Against
10
Goal diff -5

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Genoa offensive edge

    Genoa faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    0
  • Palermo offensive edge

    Palermo runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    0

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Genoa50
Palermo50

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Genoa50
Palermo50

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Genoa42
Palermo29

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Genoa50
Palermo50

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Genoa30
Palermo34

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Genoa56
Palermo44

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Genoa50
Palermo50
PalermoHigh-risk / fragile