Gent 1-4 Anderlecht Prediction

GentGent
1 — 4FT
AnderlechtAnderlecht
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

GentGentvsAnderlechtAnderlecht

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Gent

Estimated win chances: Gent 42.2%, draw 24.4%, Anderlecht 33.4%. From 32 and 32 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.58Expected goals1.38

From 32 and 32 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111.7%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 1–08.5%
  • 1–28.1%
  • 0–17.4%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

59BuildingGent
Weighted momentum

Anderlecht arrives with stronger form weighting (+12 momentum).

71Hot streakAnderlecht
Anderlecht · compact defense · hot form

Gent

18W · 5D · 9L
Recent →LWLWWWDLWWLDLWWLDWWWDWLWWLWWWWDL
Momentum index

Anderlecht

20W · 9D · 3L
Recent →DDWDWDWWWDWWWDWLDWWLWWWWWWWDDWWL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapAnderlecht +10

Gent

59 pts
56% wins

18W · 5D · 9L · 32 played

For
66
Against
37
Goal diff +29

Anderlecht

69 pts
63% wins

20W · 9D · 3L · 32 played

For
62
Against
27
Goal diff +35

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Gent offensive edge

    Gent faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -10
  • Anderlecht offensive edge

    Anderlecht's attack (50%) vs Gent's defense (40%).

    +10

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Gent50
Anderlecht50

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Gent40
Anderlecht60

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Gent59
Anderlecht71

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Gent30
Anderlecht70

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Gent30
Anderlecht30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Gent50
Anderlecht50

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Gent9
Anderlecht91
Anderlechtcompact defense · hot form